ISSN: 2375-3846
American Journal of Science and Technology  
Manuscript Information
 
 
Evaluation of NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) against Surface Observations over Egypt
American Journal of Science and Technology
Vol.1 , No. 4, Publication Date: Aug. 26, 2014, Page: 157-167
1952 Views Since August 26, 2014, 1008 Downloads Since Apr. 14, 2015
 
 
Authors
 
[1]    

Gamal El Afandi, College of Agriculture, Environment and Nutrition Sciences, Tuskegee University, Tuskegee, AL, USA; Department of Astronomy & Meteorology, Faculty of Science, Al Azhar University, Cairo Egypt.

 
Abstract
 

Egypt experiences from a lack of meteorological weather stations, so it needs new weather ground stations to be established, to cover different locations and well distributed along its area. So the aim of this study is to evaluate the available global reanalysis datasets with different spatial and temporal resolution against surface observations from different ground weather stations distributed all over Egypt. Based on the results of this evaluation, it could be very useful for Egypt to depend on this global dataset to be used as compensation in case of lack of in-situ observations. In this study, the dataset from National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) will be used for this purpose. In this study our evaluation has been done for CFSR against some meteorological parameters such as maximum and minimum temperature at two meters (Tmax) and (Tmin) respectively, mean temperature at two meters (T), dew point temperature at two meters (Td), pressure mean sea level (Pmsl), relative humidity (RH) and total cloud cover (Cld), which collected from 23 weather surface stations over Egypt. The results gave a good agreement between the CFSR and ground station measurements through twenty three stations. The differences between CFSR and observations were very small compared to each other. Also the values of MB, RMSE were within the acceptable range and represented a good agreement between CFSR and observations over most of the Egyptian weather stations. Most correlations were highly correlated except very few stations. The results proved that, it is acceptable to use the CFSR dataset in case of lack of measured meteorological parameters for most weather stations, but the dew point temperature and relative humidity estimated from CFSR need improvements for few weather stations.


Keywords
 

CFSR Data, Observations, Egypt, Evaluation


Reference
 
[01]    

Bao, X., and F. Zhang. 2013. Evaluation of NCEP–CFSR, NCEP–NCAR, ERA-Interim, and ERA-40 Reanalysis Datasets against Independent Sounding Observations over the Tibetan Plateau. Journal of Climate.

[02]    

Berman, F., A. Chien, K. Cooper, J. Dongarra, I. Foster, and D. Gannon, ... & Wolski, R. 2001. The GrADS project: Software support for high-level grid application development. International Journal of High Performance Computing Applications, 15 (4):327-344.

[03]    

Decker, M., M. A. Brunke, Z. Wang, K. Sakaguchi, X. Zeng, and M. G. Bosilovich. 2012. Evaluation of the Reanalysis Products from GSFC, NCEP, and ECMWF Using Flux Tower Observations. Journal of Climate 25 (6):1916-1944.

[04]    

Dee, D.P., et al. (2011). The ERA‐Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Q.J.R. Meteor. Soc. 137: 553–597

[05]    

Kaicun, W., and E. D. Robert. 2013. Global atmospheric downward longwave radiation at the surface from ground-based observations, satellite retrievals, and reanalyses. Reviews of Geophysics 51.

[06]    

Kalnay, E., et al. (1996). The NCEP‐NCAR 40‐year reanalysis project. Bulletin of the American

[07]    

Kanamitsu, M., W. Ebisuzaki, J. Woollen, S.-K. Yang, J. J. Hnilo, M. Fiorino, and G. L. Potter, 2002: NCEP–DOE AMIP-II Reanalysis (R-2). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83, 1631–1643.

[08]    

Keller, J., C. Khuen, and C. Gueymard. 2011. A NEW WEB-BASED DATA DELIVERY SYSTEM TO PROVIDE GLOBAL SUPPORT FOR SOLAR SITE SELECTION ANALYSES. Meteorological Society 77: 437–471.

[09]    

Rienecker, M.M., et al. (2011): MERRA NASA’s Modern Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications. J. Climate 24: 3624–3648.

[10]    

Saha, S., S. Moorthi, H. Pan, X. Wu, J. Wang, S. Nadiga, P. Tripp, R. Kistler, J. Woollen, D. Behringer, H. Liu, D. Stokes, R. Grumbine, G. Gayno, J. Wang, Y. Hou, H. Chuang, H. H. Juang, J. Sela, M. Iredell, Treadon, K. R., D.,, P. Van Delst, D. Keyser, J. Derber, M. Ek, J. Meng, H. Wei, R. Yang, S. Lord, H. van den Dool, A. Kumar, W. Wang, C. Long, M. Chelliah, Y. Xue, B. Huang, J. Schemm, W. Ebisuzaki, R. Lin, P. Xie, M. Chen, S. Zhou, W. Higgins, C. Zou, Q. Liu, Y. Chen, Y. Han, L. Cucurull, R. W. Reynolds, G. Rutledge, and M. and Goldberg. 2010. NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) 6-hourly Products, January 1979 to December 2010. Research Data Archive at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, Computational and Information Systems Laboratory. Dataset. http://rda.ucar.edu/datasets/ds093.0/. Accessed§ 31 Jan 2014.

[11]    

Wanqiu, W., X. Pingping, Y. Soo-Hyun, X. Yan, K. Arun, and W. Xingren. 2010. An assessment of the surface climate in the NCEP climate forecast system reanalysis. Climate Dynamics 37.

[12]    

Zib, B. J., X. Dong, B. Xi, and A. Kennedy. 2012. Evaluation and Intercomparison of Cloud Fraction and Radiative Fluxes in Recent Reanalyses over the Arctic Using BSRN Surface Observations. Journal of Climate 25 (7):2291-2305.





 
  Join Us
 
  Join as Reviewer
 
  Join Editorial Board
 
share:
 
 
Submission
 
 
Membership